It’s Not Polls We Distrust — It’s White People
No matter how much of an advantage Biden seems to have, we’ve been through this before
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Joe Biden should be the next president of the United States. This isn’t a statement of morality; it’s one based on pretty much every poll about the election we’ve seen so far. A recent CNBC/Change Research poll has Biden leading in six battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. A Reuters/Ipsos poll has Biden up 12 points nationally. In any given election, these poll results would have November looking like a landslide victory for the former vice president.
But if you talk to any Black person about the election, the response is some derivative of “Trump gonna win this shit, watch.” These aren’t pontifications or guesses, these are guarantees. How do Black folks know for sure something that’s the opposite of every methodologically “rigorous” measure? Because we simply don’t trust White people to do what’s right in November.
Charts and graphs can’t ease our anxiety when history tells us all we need to know: When given the choice…